It used to be that Guam, in the 1950s and 60s, was almost a one-party island.
The Popular Party, and then the Democratic Party, held onto 100% of the Guam Legislature between 1956 and 1970, with just a two-year break (1964 to 1966) when the Territorial Party won the majority.
By 1970, Guam had become a two-party island, with the newly-established Republican Party winning some seats in the Legislature and even eventually the majority of the Legislature for a time. The Republicans also did well in the Gubernatorial elections, starting with the first one in 1970 which they won.
VILLAGE COMMISSIONERS / MAYORS
THREE CANDIDATES FOR COMMISSIONER IN 1968
NO PARTY AFFILIATION STATED
Up until 1970, village Commissioners (what we now call Mayors) were not elected under a party banner.
In 1970, a law was passed giving some villages (Dededo, Hågat) an Assistant Commissioner. So an election was held that year for that position, and this time it was by party affiliation. No Commissioner was being elected in 1970, since the last election for that office was in 1968 for a four-year term.
It was not until the 1972 election that candidates for Commissioner were now placed on the ballot under a party, Democrat or Republican.
Even when the Commissioner's office was non-partisan, nearly all the Commissioners were known for their allegiance to one of the two parties. It's just that they didn't run under a political party till 1972.
SINCE 1972 : NEVER ELECTED A DEMOCRAT
ALL MANGILAO MAYORS SINCE 1972 HAVE BEEN REPUBLICANS
But since the office of Commissioner (later Mayor) became partisan in 1972, three villages have never elected a Democrat as Commissioner or Mayor.
They are :
MANGILAO
Nick Francisco, Nito Blas and Allan Ungacta have all been Republicans.
TAMUNING
Greg Calvo, Sr., Al Dungca, Luís Herrero, Concepción Dueñas, Francisco Blas and Louise Rivera have all been Republicans.
HAGÅTÑA
For the record, in 1972, Hagåtña elected an Independent. Tomás Flores Mendiola ran as an Independent seeking the seat of the Republican incumbent at the time, Lucas San Nicolás.
Still, electing an Independent is not the same as electing a Democrat, and everyone knew that Mendiola was a Republican, and he identified as such in the 1976 election. But since he was after a sitting Republican's position in 1972, he ran as an Independent.
Those who came after Mendiola - Félix Ungacta and John Cruz - have both been Republicans.
NEVER ELECTED A REPUBLICAN
ALL DEMOCRATS
On the other end of the political spectrum is my village - SINAJAÑA - which has never elected a Republican Commissioner or Mayor since the office became partisan in 1972. Sometimes the Republicans just didn't enter a candidate at all for the mayoral race in Sinajaña.
Every other village on Guam has elected Commissioners or Mayors from either party, even if it was only one time for one of the two parties.
2024 ELECTION
Among all four villages which have never elected a Mayor from the opposing party, things will stay exactly the same for the next four years. This year, the voters will elect their Mayor for the next four years, but in three of these four villages, the current incumbent is running unopposed, securing their victory before a single ballot has been cast.
They are :
MANGILAO
|
ALLAN UNGACTA
|
REPUBLICAN
|
SINAJAÑA
|
ROBERT HOFMANN
|
DEMOCRAT
|
TAMUNING
|
LOUISE RIVERA
|
REPUBLICAN
|
Because these three incumbents have been automatically re-elected, their respective parties retain the Mayor's position.
But even in the fourth village, where there are more than one candidate for Mayor, both candidates are from the same party.
They are from Hagåtña and they are both Republicans.
HAGÅTÑA
|
JOVYNA SAN AGUSTIN
|
REPUBLICAN
|
HAGÅTÑA
|
MICHAEL GUMATAOTAO
|
REPUBLICAN
|
Thus, no matter who wins the Mayor's position for Hagåtña in 2024, it will be a Republican, maintaining that party's exclusive claim on that office for now.
THE FUTURE
Only God knows if, one day in the future, a Democratic Mayor will be elected in Hagåtña, Mangilao or Tamuning, and a Republican Mayor in Sinajaña.
Most people would agree that, in the near future, the hardest would be Sinajaña, where the Democratic Party has been historically so strong that even the occasional Republican is dissuaded from running. "Don't even bother," some are told, if they are Republican. But fifty years from now? Who knows?
Mangilao might have the better chance for a Democrat to be elected. Its population is very mixed politically, and it all depends if the Democrats can present a strong candidate one day.
Hagåtña and Tamuning tend to be Republican, but the future depends on the attractiveness of the individual candidate and on weakening party loyalty. A Democrat may well win in those villages, but the future remains to be seen.